We defined a viable price for a high-cost oncology drug by mapping all patient access routes
Context
A pharmaceutical multinational preparing the launch of a high-cost oncology drug for a rare and aggressive leukemia in Mexico. The challenge was to define a price that made commercialization viable across all available patient access routes.
Approach
Sizing of the affected patient universe from incidence and prevalence data of the associated genetic mutation, projecting its evolution by age group and sex;
Multi-source financial accessibility model, crossing the cost of oncological treatment already faced by the patient with coverage from different types of private and public insurance;
Complete institutional mapping of the Mexican public healthcare system — approval, prescription, and reimbursement in each public pathway, including a specific fund for high-cost diseases — to capture all payment routes available to an individual patient;
Validation of the three pillars through interviews with hematologists, oncologists, and public and private payers.
Results
Identification of critical success factors for the product launch in the Mexican market: regulatory, service, communication, and others;
Sizing of the potential market by price range;
Definition of the price that enables commercialization across different insured patient profiles;
Identification that public sector adoption depends more on the completion of the regulatory process than on price alone — a factor that a standalone price analysis would not have revealed.